ObjectiveTo investigate the risk factors affecting the occurrence of infectious complications after radical gastrectomy for gastric cancer, and to establish a risk prediction Nomogram model. MethodsThe clinicopathologic data of 429 primary gastric cancer patients who underwent radical resection for gastric cancer at the Second Department of General Surgery of Shaanxi Provincial People’s Hospital between January 2018 and December 2020 were retrospectively collected to explore the influencing factors of infectious complications using multivariate logistic regression analyses, and to construct a prediction model based on the results of the multivariate analysis, and then to further validate the differentiation, consistency, and clinical utility of the model. ResultsOf the 429 patients, infectious complications occurred in 86 cases (20.05%), including 53 cases (12.35%) of pulmonary infections, 16 cases (3.73%) of abdominal infections, 7 cases (1.63%) of incision infections, and 10 cases (2.33%) of urinary tract infections. The results of multivariate logistic analysis showed that low prognostic nutritional index [OR=0.951, 95%CI (0.905, 0.999), P=0.044], long surgery time [OR=1.274, 95%CI (1.069, 1.518), P=0.007], American Society of Anesthesiologists physical status classification (ASA) grade Ⅲ–Ⅳ [OR=9.607, 95%CI (4.484, 20.584), P＜0.001] and alcohol use [OR=3.116, 95%CI (1.696, 5.726), P＜0.001] were independent risk factors for the occurrence of infectious complications, and a Nomogram model was established based on these factors, with an area under the ROC of 0.802 [95%CI (0.746, 0.858)]; the calibration curves showed that the probability of occurrence of infectious complications after radical gastrectomy predicted by the Nomogram was in good agreement with the actual results; the decision curve analysis showed that the Nomogram model could obtain clinical benefits in a wide range of thresholds and had good practicality.ConclusionsClinicians need to pay attention to the perioperative management of gastric cancer patients, fully assess the patients’ own conditions through the prediction model established by prognostic nutritional index, surgery time, ASA grade and alcohol use, and take targeted interventions for the patients with higher risks, in order to reduce the risk of postoperative infectious complications.
The high incidence and mortality of acute kidney injury (AKI) have brought great challenges to global health. In recent years, China has made some achievements in the epidemiology, risk factors and treatment of AKI. However, further prevention and treatment are still facing difficulties. Based on current new ideas and research progress, this paper summarized and analyzed the management throughout the whole course of AKI, including AKI risk assessment, early prevention, early identification, treatment and follow-up. The aim is to make Chinese nephrologists realize the focus of AKI prevention and treatment, standardize the management of AKI, and explore the prevention and treatment strategy suitable for AKI in China.
Objective To explore independent risk factors for 30-day mortality in critical patients with pulmonary infection and sepsis, and build a prediction model. Methods Patients diagnosed with pulmonary infection and sepsis in the MIMIC-Ⅲ database were analyzed. The CareVue database was the training cohort (n=934), and the Metavision database was the external validation cohort (n=687). A COX proportional hazards regression model was established to screen independent risk factors and draw a nomogram. We conducted internal cross-validation and external validation of the model. Using the receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve, Calibration chart, and decision curve analysis, we detected the discrimination, calibration, and benefit of the model respectively, comparing with the SOFA scoring model. Results Age, SOFA score, white blood cell count≤4×109/L, neutrophilic granulocyte percentage (NEU%)>85%, platelet count (PLT)≤100×109/L, PLT>300×109/L, red cell distribution width >15%, blood urea nitrogen, and lactate dehydrogenase were independent risk factors. The areas under the ROC curve of the model were 0.747 (training cohort) and 0.708 (external validation cohort), respectively, which was superior to the SOFA scoring model in terms of discrimination, calibration, and benefit. Conclusion The model established in this study can accurately and effectively predict the risk of the disease mortality, and provide a visual assessment method for early identification of high-risk patients.
Objective To scoping review the risk prediction models for sarcopenia in China was conducted, and provide reference for scientific prevention and treatment of the disease and related research. Methods We systematically searched PubMed, Web of Science, Cochrane Library, Embase, China Knowledge Network, China Biomedical Literature Database, Wanfang Database, and Weipu Database for literature related to myasthenia gravis prediction models in China, with a time frame from the construction of the database to April 30, 2024 for the search. The risk of bias and applicability of the included literature were assessed, and information on the construction of myasthenia gravis risk prediction models, model predictors, model presentation form and performance were extracted. Results A total of 25 literatures were included, the prevalence of sarcopenia ranged from 12.16% to 54.17%, and the study population mainly included the elderly, the model construction methods were categorized into two types: logistic regression model and machine learning, and age, body mass index, and nutritional status were the three predictors that appeared most frequently. Conclusion Clinical caregivers should pay attention to the high-risk factors for the occurrence of sarcopenia, construct models with accurate predictive performance and high clinical utility with the help of visual model presentation, and design prospective, multicenter internal and external validation methods to continuously improve and optimize the models to achieve the best predictive effect.
Breast cancer, the most common malignancy in the world, also causes the most death cases of women among malignancies. Breast cancer risk reduction guidelines (version 2023) was updated by National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN). Based on high-level evidences from evidence-based medicine and the latest research progress, the guidelines provided standardized guidance for breast cancer risk assessment and risk reduction strategies for individuals without a history of invasive breast cancer or ductal carcinoma in situ, which has attracted widespread attention from clinicians worldwide. Breast cancer is also the most common malignancy in Chinese women, and the number of newly diagnosed breast cancer cases each year in China ranks first in the world due to the large population, so the breast cancer prevention has become a major public health challenge in China. Aimed to provide reference for breast cancer prevention in China, this article interpreted the guidelines (the new version) based on the characteristics of breast structure in Asian women and the epidemiological characteristics of breast cancer in China.
ObjectiveTo explain the latest concepts of colorectal surgery, and predict the future direction of it. MethodsA review and summary based on the clinical experience of our hospitals and theses over the past years and new advances on the researches in home and abroad were performed. ResultsDoctors should attach more importance to anal preserving operation; and there should be more usage of fast track in colorectal surgery. Besides, predicting low risk of postoperative complications and digitizing colorectal surgery also needed more attention. ConclusionThose aspects of colorectal surgery in the result need further development.
Objective To systematically evaluate risk prediction models for acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), and provide a reference for early clinical identification. Methods The literature on the risk prediction models of acute exacerbation of COPD published by CNKI, VIP, Cochrane, Embase and Web of Science database was searched in Chinese and English from inception to April 2022, and relevant studies were collected on the development of risk prediction models for acute exacerbations of COPD. After independent screening of the literature and extraction of information by two independent researchers, the quality of the included literature was evaluated using the PROBASTA tool. Results Five prospective studies, one retrospective case-control study and seven retrospective cohort studies were included, totally 13 papers containing 24 models. Twelve studies (92.3%) reported the area under the receiver operator characteristic curve ranging 0.66 to 0.969. Only five studies reported calibrated statistics, and three studies were internally and externally validated. The overall applicability of 13 studies was good, but there was a high risk of bias, mainly in the area of analysis. Conclusions The existing predictive risk models for acute exacerbations of COPD are unsatisfactory, with wide variation in model performance, inappropriate and incomplete inclusion of predictors, and a need for better ways to develop and validate high-quality predictive models. Future research should refine the study design and study report, and continue to update and validate existing models. Secondly medical staff should develop and implement risk stratification strategies for acute exacerbations of COPD based on predicted risk classification results in order to reduce the frequency of acute exacerbations and to facilitate the rational allocation of medical resources.
ObjectiveTo clarify the risk factors of diaphragmatic dysfunction (DD) after cardiac surgery with extracorporeal circulation. MethodsA retrospective analysis was conducted on the data of patients who underwent cardiac surgery with extracorporeal circulation in the Department of Cardiovascular Surgery of Peking University People's Hospital from January 2023 to March 2024. Patients were divided into two groups according to the results of bedside diaphragm ultrasound: a DD group and a control group. The preoperative, intraoperative, and postoperative indicators of the patients were compared and analyzed, and independent risk factors for DD were screened using multivariate logistic regression analysis. ResultsA total of 281 patients were included, with 32 patients in the DD group, including 23 males and 9 females, with an average age of (64.0±13.5) years. There were 249 patients in the control group, including 189 males and 60 females, with an average age of (58.0±11.2) years. The body mass index of the DD group was lower than that of the control group [(18.4±1.5) kg/m2 vs. (21.9±1.8) kg/m2, P=0.004], and the prevalence of hypertension, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, heart failure, and renal insufficiency was higher in the DD group (P<0.05). There was no statistical difference in intraoperative indicators (operation method, extracorporeal circulation time, aortic clamping time, and intraoperative nasopharyngeal temperature) between the two groups (P>0.05). In terms of postoperative aspects, the peak postoperative blood glucose in the DD group was significantly higher than that in the control group (P=0.001), and the proportion of patients requiring continuous renal replacement therapy was significantly higher than that in the control group (P=0.001). The postoperative reintubation rate, tracheotomy rate, mechanical ventilation time, and intensive care unit stay time in the DD group were higher or longer than those in the control group (P<0.05). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that low body mass index [OR=0.72, 95%CI (0.41, 0.88), P=0.011], preoperative dialysis [OR=2.51, 95%CI (1.89, 4.14), P=0.027], low left ventricular ejection fraction [OR=0.88, 95%CI (0.71, 0.93), P=0.046], and postoperative hyperglycemia [OR=3.27, 95%CI (2.58, 5.32), P=0.009] were independent risk factors for DD. ConclusionThe incidence of DD is relatively high after cardiac surgery, and low body mass index, preoperative renal insufficiency requiring dialysis, low left ventricular ejection fraction, and postoperative hyperglycemia are risk factors for DD.
Objective To explore the safety and efficacy of regional citrate anticoagulation in hemoperfusion combined with continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT). Methods Patients who underwent continuous veno-venous hemodiafiltration tandem hemoperfusion between January 2021 and March 2022 in West China Hospital of Sichuan University were retrospectively enrolled. All patients received double-lumen catheter indwelling through internal jugular vein or femoral vein for vascular access, and were treated with Prismaflex V8.0 CRRT machine, extracorporeal circulation line ST150, and disposable hemoperperfusion device HA380. Four percent sodium citrate was pumped from the arterial end at the rate of 180-200 mL/h. The blood pump rate was 130-150 mL/min, the ratio of dialysis fluid to the dose of replacement fluid was 1∶1, the amount of CRRT treatment agent was 20-35 mL/(kg·h), replacement fluid was added by post-dilution method, and the treatment time of hemoperfusion was 8-10 h. The dialysis treatment completion rate, the cardiopulmonary bypass life, the incidence of coagulation events, and the levels of procalcitonin, C-reactive protein, interleukin-6, etc. were observed. Results A total of 143 cases of treatment were completed in 75 patients, among them, 119 cases were successfully completed and the completion rate of hemoperfusion treatment was 83.2%. The average life of hemoperfusion devices was (8.5±1.5) h. Bleeding or blood clotting occurred in 18.9% of the treatment (27/143), 13 cases had CRRT extracorporeal circulation coagulation, 11 cases had hemoperfusion device coagulation, and 3 cases had gastrointestinal bleeding. The ionic calcium levels after the filter of 93 cases of treatment were maintained around 0.25-0.35 mmol/L, and the peripheral calcium levels were maintained around 1.0-1.1 mmol/L. Compared with that at 0 h, the procalcitonin decreased significantly 72 h after hemoperfusion treatment (P=0.014), while there was no significant change in interleukin-6 or C-reactive protein after 72 h treatment (P>0.05). None of the patients experienced anaphylaxis during treatment. Conclusion In CRRT combined with hemoperfusion, the use of regional citrate anticoagulation results in good cardiopulmonary bypass life, inflammatory mediators clearance, and a lower risk of bleeding.
ObjectiveTo analyze the prevalence and risk factors of metabolic syndrome (MS) after adult liver transplantation (LT) recipients. MethodsThe clinicopathologic data of patients with survival time ≥1 year underwent LT in the People’s Hospital of Zhongshan City from January 1, 2015 to August 31, 2020 were analyzed retrospectively. The logistic regression model was used to analyze the risk factors affecting MS occurrence after LT, and the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to evaluate the optimal cutoff value of the index of predicting MS occurrence and its corresponding evaluation effect. ResultsA total of 107 patients who met the inclusion criteria were collected in this study. Based on the diagnostic criteria of MS of Chinese Medical Association Diabetes Association, the occurrence rate of MS after LT was 32.7% (35/107). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that the increased age of the recipient [OR (95%CI)=1.106 (1.020, 1.199), P=0.014], preoperative increased body mass index [OR (95%CI)=1.439 (1.106, 1.872), P=0.007] and blood glucose level [OR (95%CI)=1.708 (1.317, 2.213), P<0.001], and with preoperative smoking history [OR (95%CI)=5.814 (1.640, 20.610), P=0.006] and drinking history [OR (95%CI)=5.390 (1.454, 19.984), P=0.012] increased the probability of MS after LT. The areas under the ROC curve (AUC) corresponding to these five indexes were 0.666, 0.669, 0.769, 0.682, and 0.612, respectively. The corresponding optimal cutoff values of three continuous variables (recipient’s age, preoperative body mass index, and blood glucose level) were 53 years old, 23.1 kg/m2, and 6.8 mmol/L, respectively. The AUC of combination of the above five indexes in predicting occurrence of MS was 0.903 [95%CI (0.831, 0.952)], and the sensitivity and specificity were 80.0% and 90.3%, respectively. ConclusionsIncidence of MS after adult LT recipient is not low. For recipients with preoperative hyperglycemia, obese, elderly, histories of drinking and smoking before LT need to pay attention to the early detection and early intervention of MS.