ObjectiveThis study aims to analyze the trends in Parkinson’s disease incidence rates among the elderly population in China from 1990 to 2021 and to forecast incidence growth over the next 20 years, providing. MethodsJoinpoint regression and age-period-cohort models were employed to analyze temporal trends in Parkinson’s disease incidence, and the Nordpred model was used to predict case numbers and incidence rates among the elderly in China from 2022 to 2044. ResultsFindings indicated a significant increase in Parkinson’s disease incidence among China’s elderly population from 1990 to 2021, with crude and age-standardized incidence rates rising from 95.37 per 100 000 and 111.05 per 100 000 to 170.52 per 100 000 and 183.91 per 100 000, respectively. Predictions suggested that by 2044, the number of cases will rise to approximately 878 264, with the age-standardized incidence rate reaching 223.4 per 100 000, and men showing significantly higher incidence rates than women. The rapid increase in both cases and incidence rates indicates that Parkinson’s disease will continue to impose a heavy health burden on China’s elderly population. ConclusionThe burden of Parkinson’s disease in China’s elderly population has grown significantly and is expected to worsen. To address the rising incidence rates effectively, it is recommended to enhance early screening and health education for high-risk groups, improve diagnostic and treatment protocols, and prioritize resource allocation to Parkinson’s disease prevention and care services to reduce future public health burdens.
Objective To compare the biomechanical properties of the anterior transpedicular screw-artificial vertebral body (AVB) and conventional anterior screw plate system (AP) in lower cervical spine by finite element study. Methods CT images (C1-T1) were obtained from a 38-year-old female volunteer. The models of intact C3-7 (intact group), AP fixation (AP group), and AVB fixation (AVB group) were established and analyzed by Mimics 14.0, Geomagic Studio 2013, and ANSYS 14.0 softwares. The axial force of 74 N and moment couple of 1 N·m were loaded on the upper surface and upper facet joint surfaces of C3. Under conditions of flexion, extension, lateral bending, and rotation, the Von Mises stress distribution regularity and maximum equivalent stree of AP and AVB groups were recorded, and the range of motion (ROM) was also analyzed of 3 groups. Results The intact model of lower cervical spine (C3-7) was established, consisting of 286 382 elements and 414 522 nodes, and it was successfully validated with the previously reported cadaveric experimental data of Panjabi and Kallemeyn. The stress concentrated on the connection between plate and screw in AP group, while it distributed evenly in AVB group. Between AP and AVB groups, there was significant difference in maximum equivalent stress values under conditions of 74 N axial force, flexion, extension, and rotation. AVB group had smaller ROM of fixed segments and larger ROM of adjacent segments than AP group. Compared with intact group, whole ROM of the lower cervical spine decreased about 3°, but ROM of C3, 4 and C6, 7 segments increased nearly 5° in both AP and AVB groups. Conclusion As a new reconstruction method of lower cervical spine, AVB fixation provides better stability and lower risk of failure than AP fixation.