Objective To analyze the substitution mechanism of surrogate endpoints for traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) clinical efficacy evaluation of chronic heart failure (CHF). Methods To obtain data from the occurrence of surrogate endpoints and cardiogenic death of patients with CHF in 7 hospitals. The causal relationship between surrogate endpoints and cardiogenic mortality was inferred by the Bayesian network model, and the interaction among surrogate endpoints was analyzed by non-conditional logistic regression model. Results A total of 2 961 patients with CHF were included. The results of Bayesian network causal inference showed that cardiogenic mortality had a causal relationship with the surrogate endpoints including NYHA classification (P=0.46), amino-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) (P=0.24), left ventricular ejaculation fraction (LVEF) (P=0.19), and hemoglobin (HB) (P=0.11); non-conditional logistic regression analysis showed that NYHA classification had interaction with NT-proBNP, LVEF, and HB prior to and after adjusting confounders. Conclusions The substitution capability of surrogate endpoints for TCM clinical efficacy evaluation of CHF for cardiogenic mortality are NYHA classification, NT-proBNP, LVEF, and HB in turn, and there is a multiplicative interaction between the main surrogate endpoint NYHA classification and the secondary surrogate endpoints including NT-proBNP, LVEF, and HB, suggesting that when the two surrogate endpoints with interaction exist at the same time, it can enhance the substitution capability of surrogate endpoints for cardiogenic mortality.
Exploring the functional network during the interaction between emotion and cognition is an important way to reveal the underlying neural connections in the brain. Sparse Bayesian network (SBN) has been used to analyze causal characteristics of brain regions and has gradually been applied to the research of brain network. In this study, we got theta band and alpha band from emotion electroencephalogram (EEG) of 22 subjects, constructed effective networks of different arousal, and analyzed measurements of complex network including degree, average clustering coefficient and characteristic path length. We found that: ① compared with EEG signal of low arousal, left middle temporal extensively interacted with other regions in high arousal, while right superior frontal interacted less; ② average clustering coefficient was higher in high arousal and characteristic path length was shorter in low arousal.
ObjectiveTo systematically review the influence of health education on medicine-taking compliance of hypertensive patients, so as to provide scientific evidence for health decision-making. MethodsLiterature search was performed in CBM, CNKI, WanFang Data and VIP databases to collect randomized controlled trials (RCTs) published between 1998 and 2013 concerning the effect of health education on medicine-taking compliance of hypertensive patients. Two reviewers independently screened the literature according to the inclusion and exclusion criteria, extracted the data, assessed the methodological quality of included studies, and then conducted Bayesian meta-analysis using WinBUGS 14 software after heterogeneity-test by using Stata 10.0 software. ResultsA total of 19 RCTs involving 3 751 participants were included. The results of Bayesian meta-analysis showed that the health education group was superior to the control group in medicine-taking compliance with a significant difference (OR=4.46, 95%CI 3.698 to 5.358). ConclusionHealth education could enhance the medicine-taking compliance of Chinese hypertension patients significantly.
NetMetaXL is a macro command to conduct network meta-analysis in the frame of Microsoft Excel on basis of Bayesian theory. This macro command, which was officially launched in 2014, integrates data extraction and entry, analysis results output and graph plotting as a whole. Currently, this version contains enough optional models, and all operations are through menu and easy to conduct; however, it is appropriate only for the network meta-analysis based on dichotomous variables, which still has fairly a lot to be enhanced and improved. This article gives a brief introduction based on examples to implement network meta-analysis using NetMetaXL.
The R software bmeta package is a package that implements Bayesian meta-analysis and meta-regression by invoking JAGS software. The program is based on the Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm to combine various effect quantities (OR, MD and IRR) of different types of data (dichotomies, continuities and counts). The package has the advantages of fewer command function parameters, rich models, powerful drawing function, easy of understanding and mastering. In this paper, an example is presented to demonstrate the complete operation flow of bmeta package to implement bayesian meta-analysis and meta-regression.
The method of evaluating clinical efficacy of traditional Chinese medicine is one of the hotspots in the field of traditional Chinese medicine in recent years. How to dynamically evaluate individual efficacy is one of the key scientific problems to explain the clinical efficacy of traditional Chinese medicine. At present, there are no recognized methods of evaluating individual efficacy of traditional Chinese medicine. In this study, we provided a method of dynamically evaluating individual efficacy of traditional Chinese medicine based on Bayesian N-of-1 trials after analyzing the current status of researches on methods of evaluating individual efficacy of traditional Chinese medicine. This method has the advantages of both N-of-1 trials and Bayesian multilevel models. It is feasible to evaluate individual efficacy of traditional Chinese medicine from the perspective of the design and analysis method. This study can provide an important basis for enriching and improving the methodology of evaluating individual efficacy of traditional Chinese medicine.
The risk prediction model (RPM) can be used to predict the risks of disease for individuals, playing an extremely important role in decision-making regarding disease prevention, treatment, and prognostic management. Most of the existing RPMs only utilize a single-time cross-section of variable data, so-called static models, which fail to consider the many changes during disease progression and lead to limited prediction accuracy. Dynamic prediction models can incorporate longitudinal data such as repeated measurements of variables during follow-up to capture the longitudinal changes in individual characteristics over time, describe the dynamic trajectory of individual disease risk and improve the prediction accuracy of the models; however, their application in medical research is still relatively small. In this paper, we conducted a systematic literature search to summarize the commonly used dynamic models: joint model, landmark model, and Bayesian dynamic model. By introducing their application scenarios, advantages and disadvantages, and software implementations and conducting comparisons, we aimed to provide methodological references for the future application of dynamic prediction models in medical research.
The "bnma" package is a Bayesian network meta-analysis software package developed based on the R programming language. The network meta-analysis was performed utilizing JAGS software, which yielded relevant results and visual graphs. Moreover, this software package provides support for various data structures and types, while also providing the advantages of flexible utilization, user-friendly operation, and deliver of rich and accurate outcomes. In this paper, using a network meta-analysis example of different therapies for androgenetic alopecia, the operational process of conducting network meta-analysis using the "bnma" package is briefly introduced.
The netmeta package is specialized for implementing network meta-analysis. This package was developed based on the theories of classical frequentist under R language framework. The netmeta package overcomes some difficulties of the software and/or packages based on the theories of Bayesian, for these software and/or packages need to set prior value when conducting network meta-analysis. The netmeta package also has the advantages of simple operation process and ease to operate. Moreover, this package can calculate and present the individual matched and pooled results based on the random and fixed effect model at the same time. It also can draw forest plots. This article gives a briefly introduction to show the process to conduct network meta-analysis using netmeta package.
In this paper, the research has been conducted by the Microsoft kinect for windows v2 for obtaining the walking trajectory data from hemiplegic patients, based on which we achieved automatic identification of the hemiplegic gait and sorted the significance of identified features. First of all, the experimental group and two control groups were set up in the study. The three groups of subjects respectively completed the prescribed standard movements according to the requirements. The walking track data of the subjects were obtained straightaway by Kinect, from which the gait identification features were extracted: the moving range of pace, stride and center of mass (up and down/left and right). Then, the bayesian classification algorithm was utilized to classify the sample set of these features so as to automatically recognize the hemiplegia gait. Finally, the random forest algorithm was used to identify the significance of each feature, providing references for the diagnose of disease by ranking the importance of each feature. This thesis states that the accuracy of classification approach based on bayesian algorithm reaches 96%; the sequence of significance based on the random forest algorithm is step speed, stride, left-right moving distance of the center of mass, and up-down moving distance of the center of mass. The combination of step speed and stride, and the combination of step speed and center of mass moving distance are important reference for analyzing and diagnosing of the hemiplegia gait. The results may provide creative mind and new references for the intelligent diagnosis of hemiplegia gait.