ObjectiveTo compare the long-term survival of elderly patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) treated with surgical versus non-surgical treatment. MethodsA retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data of elderly patients aged ≥70 years with ESCC who underwent esophagectomy or radiotherapy/chemotherapy at Sichuan Cancer Hospital from January 2009 to September 2017. Patients were divided into a surgical group (S group) and a non-surgical group (NS group) according to the treatment method. The propensity score matching method was used to match the two groups of patients at a ratio of 1∶1, and the survival of the two groups before and after matching was analyzed. ResultsA total of 726 elderly patients with ESCC were included, including 552 males and 174 females, with 651 patients aged ≥70-80 years and 75 patients aged ≥80-90 years. There were 515 patients in the S group and 211 patients in the NS group. The median follow-up time was 60.8 months, and the median overall survival of the S group was 41.9 months [95%CI (35.2, 48.5)], while that of the NS group was only 24.0 months [95%CI (19.8, 28.3)]. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year overall survival rates of the S group were 84%, 54%, and 40%, respectively, while those of the NS group were 72%, 40%, and 30%, respectively [HR=0.689, 95%CI (0.559, 0.849), P<0.001]. After matching, 138 patients were included in each group, and there was no statistical difference in the overall survival between the two groups [HR=0.871, 95%CI (0.649, 1.167), P=0.352]. ConclusionCompared with conservative treatment, there is no significant difference in the long-term survival of elderly patients aged ≥70 years who undergo esophagectomy for ESCC. Neoadjuvant therapy combined with surgery is still an important choice to potentially improve the survival of elderly patients with ESCC.
Objective To use a meta-analysis method to establish quantitatively the association between the HER-2/neu gene amplification/enhanced protein expression status and the 5-year post-operative survival rate or median survival time in women with epithelial ovarian carcinoma. Methods We searched and screened Chinese and English literature published since 1989 to collect all retrospective cohort studies on the prognostic significance of HER-2/neu status in this population. The survival data were analyzed using Ludwig’s centered signed rank and the DerSimonian-Laird method. Results In total, 25 studies involving 3 251 patients were included. HER-2/neu was positive in 27.1% (95%CI 0 to 54.8%) of patients, which was not related to the pathological stage, type or grade of epithelial ovarian carcinoma. In HER-2/neu positive cases, the median survival time was shortened by 0.65 years, and the 5-year survival rate was lowered. The hazard ratio (HR) for mortality was 1.22 (95%C 1.09 to 1.36). By subgroup analysis, HER-2/neu protein expression was found to be most significant in prognostic assessment. Patients with a b positive value of HER-2/neu had an increased HR for the 5-year survival; and platinum-based chemotherapy was demonstrated to be less effective in HER-2/neu positive ovarian carcinoma. Conclusion In gynecological oncology, it is reasonable to measure HER-2/neu as a routine pathological marker to predict a patient’s prognosis and to determine the most appropriate adjuvant chemotherapy regimen.
ObjectiveTo investigate the efficacy and safety of using tamoxifen sequential with the third generation aromatase inhibitors versus the third generation aromatase inhibitors or tamoxifen alone for postmenopausal hormone receptor-positive breast cancer patients.MethodsThe Cochrane Library (Issue 10, 2016), PubMed, EMbase, CNKI, and WanFang Data were searched to collect randomized controlled trials on using tamoxifen sequential with the third generation aromatase inhibitors versus the third generation aromatase inhibitors or tamoxifen alone for postmenopausal hormone receptor-positive breast cancer patients from inception to October, 2016. Two reviewers independently screened literature, extracted data and assessed the risk of bias of included studies, then meta-analysis was performed by using RevMan 5.3 software.ResultsA total of 9 studies involving 22 005 patients were included. The results of meta-analysis showed that the sequential therapy group was superior to the tamoxifen monotherapy group on overall survival (HR=0.71, 95%CI 0.52 to 0.98, P=0.04) and recurrence-free survival (HR=0.60, 95%CI 0.46 to 0.79, P=0.000 3). However, no significant difference was found in overall survival and disease free survival between the sequential therapy group and the aromatase inhibitors monotherapy group. As to adverse events, compared with the tamoxifen monotherapy group, the sequential therapy group could reduce the incidence of endometrial hyperplasia (OR=0.22, 95%CI 0.11 to 0.45, P<0.000 01), death (OR=0.74, 95%CI 0.66 to 0.84, P<0.000 01) and metastasis (OR=0.79, 95%CI 0.68 to 0.91, P=0.001); however, the incidence of bone fracture was higher in sequential therapy group compared with intamoxifen monotherapy group (OR=1.31, 95%CI 1.13 to 1.51, P=0.000 3).ConclusionThe sequential therapy using tamoxifen and the third generation of aromatase inhibitors is better than tamoxifen monotherapy for postmenopausal hormone receptor-positive breast cancer patients. However, there is no significant difference in survival benefit between the sequential therapy and aromatase inhibitors monotherapy.
ObjectiveTo analyze the impact of neoadjuvant regimens on prognosis in patients with rectal cancer in the current version of the Database from Colorectal Cancer (DACCA) database. MethodsPatient information was extracted from the updated version of DACCA on November 24, 2022 according to the established screening criteria, and the following items were analyzed: gender, age, body mass index (BMI), marriage, economic conditions, degree of differentiation, neoadjuvant treatment regimen, and pTNM staging. According to the neoadjuvant treatment regimen, the patients were divided into three groups: chemotherapy group, chemotherapy combined radiotherapy group, and chemotherapy combined targeted therapy group, and the overall survival (OS) and disease-specific survival (DSS) of patients in the three groups were analyzed, and the influencing factors of OS and DSS were analyzed by univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression models. ResultsAccording to the screening criteria, 1 716 valid data were obtained from the DACCA database, of which 954 (55.6%) were in the chemotherapy group, 332 (19.3%) in the chemotherapy combined radiotherapy group, and 430 (25.1%) in the chemotherapy combined targeted therapy group. The differences in the Kaplan-Merier survival curves of patients with different neoadjuvant regimens for OS and DSS in the three groups were statistically significant (χ2=142.142, P＜0.001; χ2=129.528, P＜0.001). There were significant differences in OS rate and DSS rate between the three groups in 3 years and 5 years (P<0.001). Further comparison of different neoadjuvant therapy groups showed that the OS of the chemotherapy combined targeted therapy group was slightly better than that of the chemotherapy group in 3 years, however, OS and DSS in 5 years were slightly worse than those the chemotherapy group, but the difference were not statistically significant (P>0.05). The OS and DSS of the chemotherapy group and the chemotherapy combined targeted therapy group were better than those of the chemotherapy combined radiotherapy group in 3 years and 5 years, and the differences were statistically significant (P<0.01). The results of multivariate analysis showed that patients’ age, economic conditions, degree of tumor differentiation, new auxiliary scheme and pTNM staging were the influencing factors of OS and DSS. ConclusionNeoadjuvant treatment regimen will affect the long-term survival prognosis of rectal cancer patients.
ObjectiveTo systematically review the effect of thalidomide as first-line therapy on postrelapse survival rate of patients with multiple myeloma (MM). MethodsDatabases including PubMed, EMbase, The Cochrane Library (Issue 1, 2007) and Web of Science were searched to collect randomized controlled trials (RCTs) about thalidomide as first-line therapy for MM from 2006 to 2011. Two reviewers independently screened literature, extracted data and assessed the risk of bias of included studies. Then, meta-analysis was performed by using RevMan 5.1 software. ResultsA total of 16 RCTs involving 6097 patients were included. The results of meta-analysis showed that, compared with the chemotherapy alone group, early application of thalidomide could significantly decrease the postrelapse survival rate (HR=1.23, 95%CI 1.05 to 1.45, P=0.002). Subgroup analysis showed that, compared with the chemotherapy alone group, thalidomide maintenance therapy after autologous stem cell transplantation (ASCT) couldn’t decrease the postrelapse survival rate (HR=0.90, 95%CI 0.57 to 1.41, P=0.64), but thalidomide induction therapy before ASCT (HR=1.21, 95%CI 1.01 to 1.45, P=0.04) and thalidomide induction therapy before ASCT combined maintenance therapy after ASCT (HR=1.41, 95%CI 1.13 to1.76, P=0.002) could significantly decrease the postrelapse survival rate. ConclusionCurrent evidence shows that, thalidomide maintenance therapy after ASCT for MM is a better therapy regimen. It couldn’t decrease the survival rate after recurrence, but could increase the disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) of patients with MM. Due to the limited quality of included studies, the above conclusion still needs to be verified by more high quality studies.
Objective To approach the surgical therapeutic efficacy of local recurrence of rectal cancer. Methods Fifty-six patients with local recurrence of rectal cancer suffered from reoperation from January 2003 to January2011 in this hospital were collected. Chi-square test was performed to analyze the complete excision rates of reoperation for different recurrent time after radical resection and different surgical procedures after primary radical resection of rectalcancer. The method of log-rank test was used for survival analysis of the Miles and Dixon procedure. Results ①The opera-tion time and intraoperative bleeding of reoperation for local recurrence of rectal cancer were more than those of the primary radical resection of rectal cancer （P＜0.05）. ②The complete resection rate of the local recurrence of rectal cancer in 5 years after primary radical resection of rectal cancer was higher than that of the local recurrence of rectal cancer within 2 years after primary radical resection of rectal cancer， and the difference was statistically significant （P＜0.01）. ③The complete resection rate of the local recurrence of rectal cancer of the technique of Dixon in the primary radical resection of rectal cancer was higher than that of Miles， and the difference was statistically significant （P＜0.05）. ④The median survival time and 2-year survival rate and 5-year survival rate of the technique of Dixon in the reoperation were longer or higher than those of Miles， and the differences were statistically significant （P＜0.05）. Conclusions Surgical procedure and postoperative recurrence time after primary operation can both influence complete excision rate of reoperation for local recurrence of rectal cancer. And reoperation for local recurrence of rectal cancer can prolong the survival time.
目的 探讨血管内皮生长因子（VEGF）及受体Flt-1蛋白表达与卵巢恶性肿瘤临床病理和预后的关系。 方法 2000年1月-2004年6月，以SABC免疫组织化学方法检测48例卵巢恶性肿瘤组织中VEGF及其受体Flt-1蛋白的表达。 结果 VEGF和Flt-1蛋白表达与卵巢恶性肿瘤的病理学类型、分化级别及临床分期无明显相关性（P＞0.05）。有淋巴结转移者VEGF和Flt-1蛋白的表达阳性率均明显高于无淋巴结转移者（P＜0.05）。 VEGF 和Flt-1共同表达者平均总生存期为27.88个月，明显短于没有共同表达者的36.04个月（95%CI 为33.42～38.65，P=0.022 3）。 结论 VEGF和Flt-1蛋白表达与卵巢恶性肿瘤的淋巴结转移相关，可作为预测肿瘤转移及预后的指标。
ObjectiveTo explore the impact of number of positive regional lymph nodes (nPRLN) in N1 stage on the prognosis of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients. MethodsPatients with TxN1M0 stage NSCLC who underwent lobectomy and mediastinal lymph node dissection from 2010 to 2015 were screened from SEER database (17 Regs, 2022nov sub). The optimal cutoff value of nPRLN was determined using X-tile software, and patients were divided into 2 groups according to the cutoff value: a nPRLN≤optimal cutoff group and a nPRLN>optimal cutoff group. The influence of confounding factors was minimized by propensity score matching (PSM) at a ratio of 1∶1. Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox proportional hazards models were used to evaluate overall survival (OS) and lung cancer-specific survival (LCSS) of patients. ResultsA total of 1316 patients with TxN1M0 stage NSCLC were included, including 662 males and 654 females, with a median age of 67 (60, 73) years. The optimal cutoff value of nPRLN was 3, with 1165 patients in the nPRLN≤3 group and 151 patients in the nPRLN>3 group. After PSM, there were 138 patients in each group. Regardless of before or after PSM, OS and LCSS of patients in the nPRLN≤3 group were superior to those in the nPRLN>3 group (P<0.05). N1 stage nPRLN>3 was an independent prognostic risk factor for OS [HR=1.52, 95%CI (1.22, 1.89), P<0.001] and LCSS [HR=1.72, 95%CI (1.36, 2.18), P<0.001]. ConclusionN1 stage nPRLN>3 is an independent prognostic risk factor for NSCLC patients in TxN1M0 stage, which may provide new evidence for future revision of TNM staging N1 stage subclassification.
ObjectiveTo systematically evaluate the potential value of C-reactive protein to albumin ratio (CAR) as an indicator of prognosis and survival in patients with pancreatic cancer. MethodsThe literatures were searched comprehensively in the PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, Cochrane Library, CBM, Wanfang, CNKI, and CQVIP databases from the establishment of the databases to May 20, 2021. The combined hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (95%CI) were used to evaluate the correlation between the CAR and the overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), or disease-free survival (DFS) in the patients with pancreatic cancer. The Newcastle-Ottawa scale (NOS) was used to evaluate the quality of the non-randomized controlled studies, and the Stata SE 15.0 software was used for meta-analysis. ResultsA total of 2 985 patients with pancreatic cancer were included in this meta-analysis of 15 studies. The results of meta-analysis showed that the higher CAR value, the shorter OS [effect size (ES)=0.60, 95%CI (0.50, 0.69), Z=12.04, P<0.001], DFS [ES=0.63, 95%CI (0.47, 0.78), Z=3.61, P<0.001], and PFS [ES=0.41, 95%CI (0.19, 0.63), Z=7.91, P<0.001] in the patients with pancreatic cancer. The results of subgroup analysis of OS according to different countries, sample size, mean age, follow-up time, CAR cut-off value, and NOS score showed that the higher CAR value was related to the shorter OS (P<0.05). The result of linear regression analysis showed that there was no correlation between the CAR cut-off value and lnHR of OS (r2=0.947, P=0.455). Conclusion From results of this study, CAR is closely related to OS of patients, and it is expected to be used as a new reference index for monitoring and judging prognosis of patients with pancreatic cancer.
Survival prognosis in patients with terminal cancer plays an important role in clinical decision-making, policy formulation, and end-stage patient with relatives. To date, foreign researchers have developed multiple survival prediction models based on patient clinical performance, biomarkers and other indicators, along with a large number of studies which have been externally verified, including Palliative Performance Scale (PPS), Palliative Prognostic Score (PaP), Delirium-Palliative Prognostic Score (D-PaP), and Palliative Prognostic Index (PPI), etc. China's research on this topic remains in the primary stage. Therefore, this article reviews the prognostic factors of terminal cancer and survival prediction models as well as applications, in order to provide references for the subsequent construction of survival prediction models for patients with terminal cancer in line with Chinese characteristics.