ObjectiveTo systematically review the associations of cognitive frailty with mortality and hospitalization in the elderly. MethodsThe VIP, PubMed, CNKI, WanFang Data, CBM, Embase, Cochrane Library and Web of Science databases were electronically searched to collect cohort studies on the association of cognitive frailty with mortality or hospitalization in the elderly from inception to May, 2023. Two reviewers independently screened the literature, extracted data and assessed risk of bias of the included studies. Meta-analysis was performed by R 4.2.2 software. ResultsA total of 19 cohort studies involving 63 624 elderly were included. The results of meta-analysis showed that compared with healthy elder, the elder with cognitive frailty had a higher mortality (OR=2.75, 95%CI 2.10 to 3.59, P<0.01) and hospitalization (OR=1.67, 95%CI 1.40 to 2.00, P<0.01). Subgroup analysis showed that cognitive frailty was related to the risk of death in different status of frailty and cognitive function, different assessment tools, different countries of development, different follow-up time and research sites. At the same time, different status of frailty and cognitive function and different levels of development of countries were related to the risk of hospitalization. ConclusionCurrent evidence shows that cognitive frailty can increase the risk of hospitalization and mortality in the elderly. It is suggested that early screening and intervention of cognitive frailty should be carried out to effectively reduce the risk of adverse consequences, so as to achieve healthy aging.
Objective To analyze the incidence and mortality of asthma in China from 1990 to 2019, and to explore the influence of age, period and cohort on the incidence and mortality of asthma. Methods Using the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019 database, the incidence and mortality of asthma in China from 1990 to 2019 were analyzed, and the time variation trend of age-standardized incidence and mortality was analyzed by using Joinpoint software, and the average annual variation percentage was calculated. The age-period-cohort model was constructed to analyze the influence of age, period and birth cohort on the incidence and mortality trend of asthma. Results In 2019, the incidence of asthma in China was 264.44/100 000, and the mortality rate was 1.74/100 000. The incidence rate of asthma in males (300.94/100 000) and mortality rate (1.99/100 000) were higher than those in females (226.51/100 000 and 1.49/100 000). From 1990 to 2019, the age-standardized incidence of asthma in China showed a downward trend, but the trend was not statistically significant (P>0. 05), and the age-standardized mortality showed a downward trend, with an average annual decrease of 4.90%, with a statistically significant trend (P<0.05). The results of age effect showed that the incidence of asthma in China showed a downward trend, and the death first showed a downward trend, and then increased in the age group of 55-59. The results of period effect show that the risk of asthma is decreasing, and then it is increasing from 2015 to 2019, and the risk of asthma mortality is decreasing. The results of cohort effect show that the later people are born, the lower the risk of asthma onset and death. The death of asthma is attributed to behavioral risk, high body mass index and tobacco, and the occupational risk tends to decrease. ConclusionsFrom 1990 to 2019, the incidence and mortality of asthma in China showed a decreasing trend, and the incidence and mortality of men were higher than that of women. The risk factors of behavioral risk, high body mass index and tobacco were still on the rise, so corresponding measures should be taken to carry out early screening, early detection, and early treatment for key populations.
Objective To analyze the incidence and mortality of acute viral hepatitis in China, project its trends from 2022 to 2030, and provide valuable insights for the prevention and control of viral hepatitis. Methods The incidence and mortality rates of acute viral hepatitis in China from 1990 to 2021 were extracted from the Global Burden of Disease 2021 database. The change rates and the estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) for each indicator were calculated. Additionally, an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model was used to project the incidence and mortality of acute viral hepatitis in China from 2022 to 2030. Results From 1990 to 2021, the incidence rates of acute hepatitis A (AHA), acute hepatitis B (AHB), acute hepatitis C (AHC), and acute hepatitis E (AHE) in China all showed a declining trend (EAPC=−1.980%, −2.664%, −2.078%, −1.686%; P<0.05), with a particularly marked decrease in mortality (EAPC=−11.662%, −7.411%, −12.541%, −7.504%; P<0.05). According to ARIMA model projections, the incidence rates of AHA and AHB were expected to continue declining from 2022 to 2030, while the incidence rates of AHC and AHE were expected to rise. In 2030, the projected incidence rates of AHA, AHB, AHC, and AHE were 890.425/100000, 824.158/100000, 59.202/100000, and 300.377/100000, respectively. The mortality rates of AHA, AHC, and AHE were projected to remain stable from 2022 to 2030, while the mortality rate of AHB was expected to decline. In 2030, the projected mortality rates of AHA, AHB, AHC, and AHE were 0.002/100000, 0/100000, 0.004/100000, and 0.011/100000, respectively. Conclusions From 1990 to 2021, the overall incidence and mortality of acute viral hepatitis in China showed a downward trend. However, the incidence rates of AHC and AHE may present an upward trend in the future, which suggests that the government and relevant health authorities should adjust their prevention and control strategies in a timely manner.
Surgical risk prediction is to predict postoperative morbidity and mortality with internationally authoritative mathematical models. For patients undergoing high-risk cardiac surgery, surgical risk prediction is helpful for decision-making on treatment strategies and minimization of postoperative complications, which has gradually arouse interest of cardiac surgeons. There are many risk prediction models for cardiac surgery in the world, including European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation (EuroSCORE), Ontario Province Risk (OPR)score, Society of Thoracic Surgeons (STS)score, Cleveland Clinic risk score, Quality Measurement and Management Initiative (QMMI), American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association (ACC/AHA)Guidelines for Coronary Artery Bypass Graft Surgery, and Sino System for Coronary Operative Risk Evaluation (SinoSCORE). All these models are established from the database of thousands or ten thousands patients undergoing cardiac surgery in a specific region. As different sources of data and calculation imparities exist, there are probably bias and heterogeneities when the models are applied in other regions. How to decrease deviation and improve predicting effects had become the main research target in the future. This review focuses on the progress of risk prediction models for patients undergoing cardiac surgery.
Objective To analyze the outcome of arterial switch operation （ASO） for surgical repair of complete transposition of the great arteries （TGA）, and to investigate the risk factors influencing the mortality of ASO. Methods The clinical data of patients suffered from TGA and treated with ASO from the January 2003 to December 2004, and the clinical records in hospital including eehoeardiogram and operation record were collected. The clinical data were analyzed by chi-squared test and logistic muhivariable regression analysis, including the age undergone operation, body weight, diagnosis, anatomic type of coronary artery, cardiopulmonary bypass time, aortic crossclamping time, circulation arrest time, assisted respiration time after operation, the delayed closure of sternum and so on. The risk factors influencing the early mortality of the ASO were analyzed. Results Sixty seven patients were operated with ASO, five patients died during the peri-operative period. The outcome of univariate analysis indicated that risk factors influencing the mortality of ASO included： age（P=0. 004）, body weight （P=0. 042）, anatomic type of coronary artery （P= 0. 006） and extracorporeal circulation time （P= 0. 048）, the length of the CICU stay（P= 0. 004） and the hospital stay（P=0. 007） after operation in the TGA/VSD patients were longer than those in TGA/ IVS patients. The logistic muhivariable regression analysis indicated that the age at operation （P= 0. 012）, coronary arteries anomaly （P = 0.001 ）and the longer cardiopulmonary bypass time （P = 0. 002） were correlated with the increase of death rate. Conclusion It could be good results for TGA patients who was repaired with ASO. The age at operation, the coronary arteries anomaly and the longer cardiopulmonary bypass time are the risk factors influencing the mortality.
Risk stratifications are valuable aids for stratifying patients by disease severity, driving informed clinical decisions, because they allow the selection of the most appropriate strategy of treatment based on the patient's individual characteristics. The clinical algorithms help patients and their families to get a better understanding of issues relevant to treatment strategies and subsequent risks as part of the process to obtain informed consent. The current risk stratifications of coronary artery bypass grafting included the Society of Thoracic Surgeons Score, the European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation, SinoSystem for Coronary Operative Risk Evaluation. This review focuses on the progress of risk stratifications of coronary artery bypass grafting for patients undergoing cardiac surgery.
Objective To analyze the results of intra-aortic balloon pump (IABP) support in patients receiving coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) and the risk factors of postoperative death. Methods The clinical data of 334 patients undergoing CABG procedure and receiving IABP support in Fuwai Hospital from January 1999 to April 2012 were retrospectively analyzed. According to the IABP insertion timing, the patients were divided into three groups: pre-, intra- and postoperative IABP groups. There were 45 males and 11 females aged 60.5±10.7 years in the preoperative IABP group, 84 males and 23 females aged 61.1±8.4 years in the intraoperative IABP group and 119 males and 52 females aged 61.4±8.5 years in the postoperative IABP group.Outcomes of the three groups were compared, including mortality, major complications, ICU stay, hospital stay and total costs. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to predict independent risk factors for postoperative in-hospital death. Results The total in-hospital mortality was 16.8% (56/334). Mortality was significantly different among the pre-, intra- and postoperative IABP groups (3.6% vs.23.4%vs. 17.0%, P=0.006). There was no significant difference in complications among the three groups (P=0.960). Multivariable logistic regression analysis indicated that independent risk factors for postoperative mortality included old age (OR=1.05, P=0.040), female (OR=3.34, P<0.001) and increasing left ventricular end-diastolic diameter (LVEDD,OR=1.06, P=0.040). Preoperative IABP support was protective factor (OR=0.10, P=0.050). Conclusion The results of IABP support in CABG patients are satisfactory, and patients with preoperative IABP have a lower mortality. Risk factors for postoperative death include old age, female and increasing LVEDD. Preoperative IABP support is a protective factor.
ObjectiveTo analyze the incidence and mortality trends of falls among elderly in China from 1990 to 2019, and to evaluate the impact of age, period, and cohort on their long-term trends. MethodsThe joinpoint regression model and age-period-cohort model were used to analysis. The annual percent change (APC) and the average annual percent change (AAPC) were used to analyze the incidence and mortality of falls among elderly in China from 1990 to 2019. The influence of age, period and cohort on the incidence and mortality of falls were analyzed. ResultsThe standardized incidence and mortality rates of falls among the elderly in China showed fluctuating upward trends from 1990 to 2019 (AAPC=1.929%, 1.535%, P<0.001), The increase rate of falls incidence was higher in men than that in women (AAPC=1.928%, 1.923%, P<0.001), and the increase rate of falls mortality was lower in men than that in women (AAPC=1.407%, 1.562%, P<0.001). The results of the age-period-cohort model showed that the age effect and period effect coefficients of incidence and mortality of falls in Chinese elderly men and women showed an overall fluctuating upward trend, while the cohort effect coefficients showed an overall downward trend. ConclusionFrom 1990 to 2019, the age standardized incidence and mortality rate of falls among the elderly in China show fluctuating upward trends. The incidence of falls in elderly women is higher than that in men, and the mortality rate of falls in elderly men is higher than that in women. It is recommended to strengthen the prevention work for falls in the oldest old, the incidence of falls in elderly women, and the mortality of falls in elderly men.
Objective To assess the completion of the under 5 mortality rate (U5MR) of Millennium Development Goals in 194 member countries of WHO, and to analyze the present situation of the global U5MR. Methods Based on the U5MR and the proportion of main causes of death in the "World Health Statistics 2015", the Millennium Development Goals of the decline of U5MR from 1990 to 2013 was assessed, the U5MR was analyzed by comparison between 2000 and 2013. Bivariate Pearson correlation analysis was used to determine the correlation between mortality and the ratio of infection to non infectious diseases and GDP per person in U5MR. Results By 2013, in 194 WHO member states, the U5MR in 46 (23.71%) countries achieved the millennium development goals. Comparison between 2000 and 2013, there was significant difference between low and high mortality groups in six continents (P<0.05), there was no significant difference between the moderate death groups (P>0.05), there was no significant difference in the ratio of infection to non infectious diseases between the middle and low mortality groups (P>0.05), however there was significant difference between the high mortality groups (P<0.05). There was significant difference in the average decline of U5MR and the ratio of non infectious diseases between low and medium, middle and high mortality groups (P<0.05). The Global U5MR had significant regional differences, the highest U5MR was in Africa, the lowest U5MR was in Europe, the medium U5MR was in North America, Oceania, South America, Asia was becoming the middle level. The U5MR was highly correlated with the ratio of infection to non-infectious diseases in every country (r2000y=0.934,r2013y=0.911,P<0.05), and it was low negatively correlated with GDP per capita (r2000y=–0.443,r2013y=–0.433,P<0.05). Conclusions There is a long way to reduce global child mortality. Prevention and control should focus on Africa and Asia. Prevention and control of infectious diseases is an effective measure for middle and high mortality countries. Prevention and control of non-infectious diseases is an important measure for low mortality countries. Increasing health investment is an important means to further reduce global U5MR.